Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana St.
Big Sky
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#243
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#246
Pace70.0#112
Improvement-1.4#248

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#197
First Shot-0.5#186
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#220
Layup/Dunks-5.3#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#56
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement-1.0#232

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#279
First Shot-3.4#275
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#222
Layups/Dunks+1.9#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#232
Freethrows-4.6#346
Improvement-0.4#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 171   @ Washington St. L 65-69 24%     0 - 1 -1.6 -10.0 +8.6
  Nov 14, 2016 151   Louisiana W 84-83 39%     1 - 1 -0.9 -3.9 +2.8
  Nov 18, 2016 218   James Madison W 80-73 55%     2 - 1 +0.9 +8.8 -7.7
  Nov 21, 2016 158   @ Rice L 78-83 23%     2 - 2 -2.0 +0.2 -2.0
  Nov 26, 2016 341   Delaware St. W 91-66 88%     3 - 2 +7.2 +15.4 -6.7
  Dec 01, 2016 48   @ Utah L 84-92 5%     3 - 3 +5.4 +7.6 -1.4
  Dec 05, 2016 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 78-83 62%     3 - 4 -13.0 +8.7 -22.1
  Dec 07, 2016 145   @ South Dakota L 57-74 21%     3 - 5 -13.3 -12.5 -1.0
  Dec 10, 2016 169   @ Nebraska Omaha L 91-97 24%     3 - 6 -3.5 +4.0 -6.7
  Dec 18, 2016 145   South Dakota L 68-80 37%     3 - 7 -13.4 -2.1 -11.8
  Dec 21, 2016 242   Central Michigan L 103-106 60%     3 - 8 -10.4 +8.5 -18.6
  Dec 29, 2016 184   Weber St. L 75-87 44%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -15.5 +3.2 -19.7
  Dec 31, 2016 332   Idaho St. W 80-63 84%     4 - 9 1 - 1 +1.5 +2.0 +0.5
  Jan 05, 2017 186   @ Eastern Washington L 64-82 27%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -16.5 -3.2 -15.4
  Jan 07, 2017 221   @ Idaho L 81-83 OT 36%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -3.3 -2.5 -0.5
  Jan 12, 2017 172   North Dakota L 85-90 42%     4 - 12 1 - 4 -7.7 +3.4 -10.6
  Jan 14, 2017 284   Northern Colorado W 68-53 70%     5 - 12 2 - 4 +4.7 -4.6 +10.0
  Jan 19, 2017 283   @ Sacramento St. W 74-65 51%     6 - 12 3 - 4 +3.8 +5.5 -0.6
  Jan 21, 2017 250   @ Portland St. W 71-65 42%     7 - 12 4 - 4 +3.2 -6.6 +9.8
  Jan 26, 2017 221   Idaho W 94-91 2OT 56%     8 - 12 5 - 4 -3.3 +5.1 -8.8
  Jan 28, 2017 186   Eastern Washington W 91-90 OT 45%     9 - 12 6 - 4 -2.6 +6.1 -8.7
  Feb 04, 2017 198   @ Montana L 84-90 30%     9 - 13 6 - 5 -5.6 +12.5 -18.3
  Feb 09, 2017 323   @ Northern Arizona L 63-69 63%     9 - 14 6 - 6 -14.3 -13.7 -0.5
  Feb 11, 2017 334   @ Southern Utah W 83-78 72%     10 - 14 7 - 6 -5.8 -0.6 -5.3
  Feb 16, 2017 250   Portland St. W 92-90 OT 61%     11 - 14 8 - 6 -5.8 +1.5 -7.6
  Feb 18, 2017 283   Sacramento St. W 62-59 70%     12 - 14 9 - 6 -7.2 -6.4 -0.2
  Feb 25, 2017 198   Montana W 78-69 49%     13 - 14 10 - 6 +4.3 +2.8 +1.8
  Mar 02, 2017 332   @ Idaho St. W 79-68 70%     14 - 14 11 - 6 +0.6 +5.3 -3.8
  Mar 04, 2017 184   @ Weber St. L 67-76 27%     14 - 15 11 - 7 -7.4 -5.3 -2.5
  Mar 07, 2017 334   Southern Utah L 105-109 3OT 79%     14 - 16 -17.3 -5.4 -11.0
Projected Record 14.0 - 16.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%